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           |  | 
 Grexit or Jubilee?
 
 How Greek Debt Could Be 
	Annulled
 
 By Ellen Brown
 
 Al-Jazeerah, CCUN, July 
	22, 2015
 
 The crushing Greek debt could be canceled the way it was 
	made – by sleight of hand. But saving the Greek people and their economy is 
	evidently not in the game plan of the Eurocrats.
 
 Greece’s creditors 
	have finally brought the country to its knees, forcing President Alexis 
	Tsipras to agree to austerity and privatization measures more severe than 
	those overwhelmingly rejected by popular vote a week earlier. No write-down 
	of Greece’s debt was included in the deal, although
	
	the IMF has warned that the current debt is unsustainable.
 
 Former Greek finance minister
	
	Yanis Varoufakis calls the deal “a new Versailles Treaty” and “the 
	politics of humiliation.”
	Greek defense 
	minister Panos Kammenos calls it a “coup d’état” done by “blackmailing 
	the Greek prime minister with collapse of the banks and a complete haircut 
	on deposits.”
 
 “Blackmail” is not too strong a word. The European 
	Central Bank has turned off its liquidity tap for Greece’s banks, something 
	all banks need, as explained earlier
	
	here. All banks are technically insolvent, lending money they don’t 
	have. They don’t lend their deposits but create deposits when they make 
	loans,
	
	as the Bank of England recently confirmed. When the depositors and 
	borrowers come for their money at the same time, the bank must borrow from 
	other banks; and if that liquidity runs dry, the bank turns to the central 
	bank, the lender of last resort empowered to create money at will. Without 
	the central bank’s backstop, banks must steal from their depositors with 
	“haircuts” or they will collapse.
 
 What did Greece do to deserve this 
	coup d’état?
	
	According to former World Bank economist Peter Koenig:
 
 [T]he 
	Greek people, the citizens of a sovereign country . . . have had the 
	audacity to democratically elect a socialist government. Now they have to 
	suffer. They do not conform to the self-imposed rules of the neoliberal 
	empire of unrestricted globalized privatization of public services and 
	public properties from which the elite is maximizing profits – for 
	themselves, of course. It is outright theft of public property.
 
 According to a July 5th article titled “Greece 
	– The One Biggest Lie You’re Being Told By The Media,” the country did 
	not fail on its own. It was made to fail:
 
 [T]he banks wrecked the 
	Greek government, and then deliberately pushed it into unsustainable debt . 
	. . while revenue-generating public assets were sold off to oligarchs and 
	international corporations.
 
 A Truth Committee 
	convened by the Greek parliament reported in June that a major portion 
	of the country's €320 billion debt is “illegal, illegitimate and odious” and 
	should not be paid.
 
 How to Cut the Debt Without Loss to the 
	Bondholders
 
 The debt cannot be paid and should not be paid, but EU 
	leaders justify their hard line as necessary to save the creditors from 
	having to pay – the European taxpayers, governments, institutions, and banks 
	holding Greek bonds. It is quite possible to grant debt relief, however,
 without hurting the bondholders. US banks were bailed out by the US Federal 
	Reserve to the tune of more than $16 trillion in virtually interest-free 
	loans, without drawing on taxes. Central banks have a printing press that 
	allows them to create money at will.
 
 The ECB has already embarked 
	on this sort of debt purchasing program. In January,
	
	it announced it would purchase 60 billion euros of debt assets per month 
	beginning in March, continuing to at least September 2016, for a total of 
	€1.14 trillion of asset purchases. These assets are being purchased through 
	“quantitative easing” – expanding the monetary base simply with accounting 
	entries on the ECB’s books.
 
 The IMF estimates that Greece needs debt 
	relief of €60 billion – a mere one month of the ECB’s quantitative easing 
	program. The ECB could solve Greece’s problem with a few computer 
	keystrokes. Moreover, in today’s deflationary environment, the effect would 
	actually be to stimulate the European economy. As financial writer
	
	Richard Duncan observes:
 
 When a central bank prints money and 
	buys a government bond, it is the same thing as cancelling that bond (so 
	long as the central bank does not sell the bond back to the public).
 
 . . . The European Central Bank’s plans to create €1.1 trillion over the 
	next 20 months will effectively cancel the combined budget deficits of the 
	Eurozone national governments in both 2015 and 2016, with a considerable 
	amount left over.
 
 Quantitative Easing has only been possible because 
	it has occurred at a time when Globalization is driving down the price of 
	labor and industrial goods. The combination of fiat money and Globalization 
	creates a unique moment in history where the governments of the developed 
	economies can print money on an aggressive scale without causing inflation.
 
 They should take advantage of this once-in-history opportunity to 
	borrow more in order to invest in new industries and technologies, to 
	restructure their economies and to retrain and educate their workforce at 
	the post-graduate level. If they do, they could not only end the global 
	economic crisis, but also ensure that the standard of living in the 
	developed world continues to improve, rather than sinking down to third 
	world levels.
 
 That is how it works for Germany after World War II.
	According to 
	economist Michael Hudson, the most successful debt jubilee in recent 
	times was gifted to Germany, the country now most opposed to doing the same 
	for Greece. The German Economic Miracle followed massive debt forgiveness by 
	the Allies:
 
 All domestic German debts were annulled, except 
	employer wage debts to their labor force, and basic working balances. Later, 
	in 1953, its international debts were written down.
 
 Why not do the 
	same for the Greeks?
	
	Hudson writes:
 
 It was easy to write down debts that were owed to 
	Nazis. It is much harder to do so when the debts are owed to powerful and 
	entrenched institutions – especially to banks.
 
 Loans Created with 
	Accounting Entries Can Be Canceled with Accounting Entries
 
 That may 
	be true for non-bank creditors. But for banks, recall that the money owed to 
	them is not taken from the accounts of depositors. It is simply created with 
	accounting entries on the books. The loans could be canceled the same way. 
	To the extent that the Greek debt is owed to the ECB, the IMF and other 
	financial institutions, that is another option for canceling it.
 
 British economist Michael Rowbotham explored that possibility in 1998 
	for the onerous Third World debts owed to the World Bank and IMF. He wrote 
	that of the $2.2 trillion debt then outstanding, the vast majority was money 
	simply created by commercial banks. It represented a liability on the banks’ 
	books only because the rules of banking said their books must be balanced.  
	He suggested two ways the rules might be changed to liquidate unfair and 
	oppressive debts:
 
 The first option is to remove the obligation on 
	banks to maintain parity between assets and liabilities, or, to be more 
	precise, to allow banks to hold reduced levels of assets equivalent to the 
	Third World debt bonds they cancel.  Thus, if a commercial bank held 
	$10 billion worth of developing country debt bonds, after cancellation it 
	would be permitted in perpetuity to have a $10 billion dollar deficit in its 
	assets.  This is a simple matter of record-keeping.
 
 The second 
	option, and in accountancy terms probably the more satisfactory (although it 
	amounts to the same policy), is to cancel the debt bonds, yet permit banks 
	to retain them for purposes of accountancy.
 
 The Real 
	Roadblock Is Political
 
 The Eurocrats could end the economic crisis 
	by writing off odious unrepayable debt either through quantitative easing or 
	by changing bank accounting rules. But ending the crisis is evidently not 
	what they are up to. As Michael Hudson puts it, “finance has become the 
	modern-day mode of warfare. Its objectives are the same: acquisition of 
	land, raw materials and monopolies.” He writes:
 
 Greece, Spain, 
	Portugal, Italy and other debtor countries have been under the same mode of 
	attack that was waged by the IMF and its austerity doctrine that bankrupted 
	Latin America from the 1970s onward.
 
 Prof. Richard Werner, who was 
	on the scene as the European Union evolved,
	
	maintains that the intent for the EU from the start was the abandonment 
	of national sovereignty in favor of a single-currency system controlled by 
	eurocrats doing the bidding of international financiers. The model was 
	flawed from the beginning. The solution, he says, is for EU countries to 
	regain their national sovereignty by leaving the euro en masse. He writes:
 
 By abandoning the euro, each country would regain control over monetary 
	policy and could thus solve their own particular predicament. Some, such as 
	Greece, may default, but its central bank could limit the damage by 
	purchasing the dud bonds from banks at face value and keeping them on its 
	balance sheet without marking to market (central banks have this option, as 
	the Fed showed again in October 2008). Banks would then have stronger 
	balance sheets than ever, they could create credit again, and in exchange 
	for this costless bailout central banks could insist that bank credit – 
	which creates new money – is only allowed for transactions that contribute 
	to GDP in a sustainable way. Growth without crises and large-scale 
	unemployment could then be arranged.
 
 But Dr. Werner acknowledges 
	that this is not likely to happen soon. Brussels has been instructed by 
	President Obama, no doubt instructed by Wall Street, to hold the euro 
	together at all costs.
 
 The Promise and Perils of Grexit
 
 The 
	creditors may have won this round, but Greece’s financial woes are far from 
	resolved. After the next financial crisis, it could still find itself out of 
	the EU. If the Greek parliament fails to endorse the deal just agreed to by 
	its president,
	
	“Grexit” could happen even earlier. And that could be the Black Swan 
	event that ultimately
	breaks 
	up the EU. It might be in the interests of the creditors to consider a 
	debt jubilee to avoid that result, just as the Allies felt it was in their 
	interests to expunge German debts after World War II.
 
 For Greece, 
	leaving the EU may be perilous; but it opens provocative possibilities. The 
	government could nationalize its insolvent banks along with its central 
	bank, and start generating the credit the country desperately needs to get 
	back on its feet. If it chose, it could do this while still using the euro, 
	just as Ecuador uses the US dollar without being part of the US. (For more 
	on how this could work, see
	
	here.)
 
 If Greece switches to drachmas, the funding 
	possibilities are even greater. It could generate the money for a national 
	dividend, guaranteed employment for all, expanded social services, and 
	widespread investment in infrastructure, clean energy, and local business. 
	Freed from its Eurocrat oppressors, Greece could model for the world what 
	can be achieved by a sovereign country using publicly-owned banks and 
	publicly-issued currency for the benefit of its own economy and its own 
	people.
 ____________
 
 Ellen Brown is an attorney, founder of the Public 
	Banking Institute, and author of twelve books including the 
	best-selling Web of Debt. Her latest 
	book, The Public Bank Solution, 
	explores successful public banking models historically and globally. Her 
	300+ blog articles are at EllenBrown.com.
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